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☆ DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Gundlach sees one rate cut this year as the Fed keeps up inflation fight
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday that he now sees no more than one interest rate cut this year as the Federal Reserve keeps policy tight to fight stubborn inflation. "The inflation rate clearly is the one that is lacking progress as [Jerome Powell] put it, so I'm going to lean on one rate cut," Gundlach said on CNBC's " Closing Bell." "Higher for longer … seems like the mantra continues, but without a rate hike. Treasury yields dropped to their session lows and stocks shot to session highs as Powell said the next policy move will not be a rate increase. "I think it's unlikely that the next policy rate move will be a hike.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, Gundlach, Powell Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, Treasury

☆ Runaway government debt could sink markets and slam the economy, 2 watchdogs warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US government's ballooning interest payments are eating a hole in its budget, they said. "We are headed toward record spending levels, record deficit levels, record debt levels, record interest payments — the list goes and on," Maya MacGuineas, the president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, told Fox Business this week. While the US isn't at imminent risk of that kind of chaos, bond markets could "snap back" if the government's interest payments soar to $1 trillion in 2026 as expected, Swagel said. AdvertisementHowever, she noted that some experts on Wall Street were "incredibly worried" about the national debt and interest payments. DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach has also sounded the alarm on debt payments.

Persons: —, MacGuineas, Philip Swagel, Liz Truss, Swagel, bitcoin, Jim Rogers, George Soros, He's, Jeffrey Gundlach Organizations: Investors, Service, Federal Budget, Fox Business, Congressional, Office, Financial Times, Bank of, CBO, Wall, DoubleLine

☆ Elite investor Jeffrey Gundlach compares the AI boom in stocks to the dot-com bubble — and warns of economic pain
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Jeffrey Gundlach compared the AI-fueled boom in stocks to the dot-com bubble. DoubleLine Capital's billionaire CEO predicted sticky inflation and an economic slump. Two other market gurus, Bill Gross and John Hussman, warned of extreme stock valuations this week. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach has warned the AI-crazed stock market reminds him of the dot-com bubble — and predicted a painful mix of stubborn inflation and economic decline lies ahead.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Gross, John Hussman, — Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business

☆ Wall Street titans like Jamie Dimon, David Solomon, and Jeffrey Gundlach are still worried about a recession — and warn investors are too complacent
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-02 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here's a roundup of recent recession warnings from six experts:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEOAdvertisementThere's a long history of investors being caught off guard by sudden downturns, Dimon told CNBC this week. AdvertisementSteve Hanke, Johns Hopkins professorThe US economy is headed for a recession if history is any indication, Hanke told Business Insider this week. AdvertisementPaul Dietrich, B. Riley Wealth Management's chief investment strategist"We're still on the path to recession," Dietrich told Business Insider in a recent interview. AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine Capital CEO"I think recession is closer than most people think," Gundlach said in a recent YouTube video.

Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, There's, Dimon, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's, Zentner, Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins, Hanke, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, We're, Dietrich, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, JPMorgan, CNBC, UBS, DoubleLine Locations: American, Russia, Ukraine, Israel

☆ A fund manager beating 98% of his peers over the last 10 years breaks down why the stock market resembles the 'Nifty 50' bubble of the 1970s, when the market's biggest names got crushed as inflation s
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Disco is backOthers have also started to compare today's market and the 1970s' "Nifty Fifty." AdvertisementJPMorgan's Chief Global Strategist Marko Kolanovic also said in a note on Wednesday that fiscal spending and inflation could resemble the 1970s landscape. Similar to the 1970s, there are currently 3 active geopolitical conflict zones – eastern Europe, Middle East, and South China Sea," Kolanovic said. Kolanovic included in his note the chart below, which shows the correlation between inflation and the performance of the S&P 500.

Persons: —, Albert Edwards, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, Jeffrey Gundlach, Cole Smead, Smead, Sears Roebuck, Alphabet's, Nvidia's, Microsoft's, Jeremy Siegel, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, " Rosenberg, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Bank of America's, Treasury, Nasdaq, DoubleLine, Investments, Business, Morningstar, Microsoft, Nvidia, Xerox Locations: Europe, Middle East, South China

☆ A trusted indicator is fueling recession warnings from Jeremy Grantham and other gurus. What you should know about the Leading Economic Index.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Leading Economic Index fell for the 22nd consecutive month in January. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The Leading Economic Index brings all of those together to gauge the future state of the economy across multiple dimensions, from growth and unemployment to consumer demand and homebuilding. Here's a screenshot showing the index's historic decline, from The Conference Board's latest release:AdvertisementThe Leading Economic Index has consistently declined ahead of previous recessions. There's no guarantee these four market veterans are right about the Leading Economic Index.

Persons: —, Here's, joblessness, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Jeremy Grantham, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gary Shilling, There's Organizations: Service, Business, Conference Board, Treasury, Manufacturers, Institute, Supply, The Conference, Board, Rosenberg Research, North, DoubleLine, Conference Locations: North American

☆ Investors need to consider market repricing in fixed income market: DoubleLine's Jeffrey Sherman
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors need to consider market repricing in fixed income market: DoubleLine's Jeffrey ShermanJeffrey Sherman, DoubleLine Capital deputy CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why there's an equity market repricing ahead, the recent spate of economic data to cross the tape, and more.

Persons: DoubleLine's Jeffrey Sherman Jeffrey Sherman Organizations: DoubleLine

☆ Jeffrey Gundlach says all the 'Goldilocks' talk makes him nervous, thinks recession is still likely
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach believes the Federal Reserve poured cold water on hopes for a "Goldilocks" economic scenario benefiting risk assets, and the bond king stuck to his call for a likely recession this year. "When I hear the word 'goldilocks,' I get nervous," Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC's "Closing Bell." But Gundlach believes the market's faith was blindly optimistic and that Powell's message on Wednesday crushed the "Goldilocks" theory. "I think you want cash to be able to get into emerging market trade once the economy slows and perhaps goes into recession," Gundlach said. If we go into the United States recession, I think we will see a buying opportunity and you want cash for that."

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Jay Powell, Jerome Powell, Stocks, Powell Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, CNBC PRO Locations: United States

☆ It's a make-or-break week for the stock market. Here's why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at why this is such a big week for the stock market . The big storyA week to rememberThree trends in the stock market are bound to vault equities higher in 2024, Wall Street strategists say. Getty ImagesWe're less than a month into 2024, but this week could determine the market's trajectory for the rest of the year. Tim Cook AppleThe information overload comes amid an uncertain time for Big Tech and the broader stock market.

Persons: —, Netflix's, it's, Matthew Fox, Jerome Powell's, Tim Cook, Tesla, haven't, we'll, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Read, Jamie Dimon, Larry Downing, Jennifer Piepszak, Marianne Lake, Troy Rohrbaugh, Jeffrey Gundlach, Buckle, Mohamed El, isn't, Erian, Lyra, Maven, Tyler Le, Liquidators, Max Organizations: Service, Business, Wall, Big Tech, Microsoft, Fed, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Google, optimist, JPMorgan, DoubleLine, Prime, Comcast, Warner Bros, Lyra Health, Hong, Alaska Airlines Locations: India, Japan, Hong Kong, China, Alaska

☆ The S&P 500 looks risky, there's a 75% chance of recession this year, and a firing frenzy is looming, elite investor Jeffrey Gundlach says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Jeffrey Gundlach says the S&P 500 is a bad bet now and the Magnificent Seven will probably falter. Gundlach expects inflation, interest rates, and unemployment to be higher than most expect. "Rich enough for sure is the S&P 500. It's going to be hard to sustain that double top in the S&P 500 with this type of expectation of earnings growth." So in the next recession, interest rates are not going to fall precipitously."

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, —, Rich, We've, we're, We're, They've, Gundlach Organizations: Service, DoubleLine

☆ DoubleLine's Gundlach sees ‘very painful’ economic downturn, S&P 500 may be forming ‘double top’
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Tuesday that he sees the chance of a severe recession coming in 2024 and that the S & P 500 , possibly in anticipation, may be forming a particularly bearish technical trading pattern. Other than the yield curve, Gundlach said leading economic indicators have been flashing contractionary signals for a long time, especially manufacturing. Gundlach pointed out that the S & P 500 has almost returned to its record level set in January 2022, forming a "double top" price chart. At the end of 2023, after a 24% rally, the S & P 500 was less than 1% from its all-time high of 4796.56 reached in January 2022. Gundlach said the greenback is losing its momentum and the S & P 500 should underperform its international counterparts in the next recession.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Carter, We're, we've Organizations: DoubleLine

☆ 'We are at the very onset of a recession right now': A top Wall Street strategist shares a 'huge red flag' signaling the economy is heading into a downturn — sending stocks tumbling as much as 20%
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Right now, it's up 7.7% year-over-year and continues to rise, prompting Kantrowitz to say it's a "huge red flag for me." Still, while the unemployment rate is up to 3.9% from its 3.4% low earlier this year, unemployment claims have not spiked meaningfully. Piper Sandler"Regarding employment – I see enough data that has me convinced that we are at the very onset of a recession right now," Kantrowitz said. If the unemployment rate continues to tick upward, even slightly, it will likely trigger the Sahm rule mentioned above. Plenty of market onlookers see a recession in 2024, including DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffery Gundlach and Citadel founder Ken Griffin.

Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Sahm's, It's, Claudia Sahm, Jon Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger, Jeffery Gundlach, Ken Griffin, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Federal, Business, Institute for Supply Management's, Investor, Federal Reserve, National Federal, Independent, Treasury, Conference, DoubleLine Capital, Citadel, Bank of America

☆ Now that inflation is slowing, here's when 10 experts think we'll see a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

High interest rates could slow consumer spending and lead to layoffs. Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates 10 consecutive times to fight inflation as the country emerged from its pandemic recovery. Here's how experts are feeling about the economy headed into the new year, and whether they think a recession is on the horizon. Some think a recession is likely in 2024Some experts predict high interest rates will take a toll on the economy, making a recession likely sometime next year. AdvertisementOthers think a recession is unlikely in 2024Other experts don't see a recession hitting the US economy in the next year.

Persons: —, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, he's, Ken Griffin, we're, Griffin, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, Marc Lasry, Lasry, Rob Arnott, Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Adams, Raphael Bostic, Brian Moynihan, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Goldman, Hatzius Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Citadel, UBS, Capital, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNBC, DoubleLine, Comerica Bank, Atlanta Federal Reserve, UCLA, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: United States, Dallas, Atlanta

☆ All the signs are pointing to a recession that'll cost Americans their jobs, veteran bond investor Jeff Gundlach says: 'Layoffs are coming'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US economy is clearly headed toward a recession, veteran bond investor Jeff Gundlach has warned. "The shape of the yield curve is extremely unstable at this time," Gundlach told CNBC's "Closing Bell". AdvertisementAdvertisementRecessions typically happen when the yield curve de-inverts after being inverted for around a year, Gundlach noted. The US Treasury bond curve inverted back in mid-2022, but has pared much of that move since the middle of this year. AdvertisementAdvertisement"I really believe that layoffs are coming," Gundlach told CNBC.

Persons: Jeff Gundlach, —, Gundlach, CNBC's, what's, October's Organizations: DoubleLine, Service, US Treasury, Big Tech, CNBC

☆ Here’s where billionaire investor Jeffrey Gundlach sees income opportunities as recession risk looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Jeffrey Gundlach sees an economic downturn on the horizon, but he also sees an opportunity emerging for income investors. Gundlach, founder of DoubleLine Capital, sees interest rates falling as the U.S. economy moves into a recession in the first part of 2024 . However, investors seeking income may do well to step out a little further on the yield curve, rather than hiding in 6-month Treasury bills and cash-like investments. Investors in holdings that are too short-dated may find themselves exposed to reinvestment risk as rates decline. He said investors could buy "the entire yield curve at this point."

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Stanley Druckenmiller's Organizations: DoubleLine Locations: U.S

☆ DoubleLine’s Gundlach says interest rates are going to fall as recession arrives early 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach believes interest rates are about to trend lower as the economy deteriorates further and tips into a recession next year. "I do think rates are going to fall as we move into a recession in the first part of next year," Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC's "Closing Bell." The Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee unanimously agreed Wednesday to hold the key federal funds rate in a target range between 5.25% to 5.5%, where it has been since July. "One thing that the market is going to have to confront is we cannot sustain these interest rates and this deficit any longer," Gundlach said. "We can't afford this government that we're running at today's interest rate level.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Stanley Druckenmiller, Jerome Powell, hasn't Organizations: DoubleLine, Billionaire, Social Security, CNBC PRO Locations: New York, U.S

☆ 3Q GDP may be strong, but likely slowing into 4Q: DoubleLine Capital's Jeff Sherman
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email3Q GDP may be strong, but likely slowing into 4Q: DoubleLine Capital's Jeff ShermanJeff Sherman, DoubleLine Capital deputy CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the strategy around fixed income right now, what ultimately will turn the tide on the recent bond selloff, and more.

Persons: Jeff Sherman Jeff Sherman Organizations: DoubleLine

☆ 'Bond King' Jeffrey Gundlach says buy long-dated Treasurys, with prices set to rebound going into a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Jeffrey Gundlach says long-duration Treasurys will make a good short-term trade in a recession. Gundlach also sees agency mortgage securities and commercial mortgage bonds as attractive. "We like long-term treasury bonds for the short-term trade going into a recession. "There has been about a 50% drawdown in the long bond, which means there is now potential for the long bond to go up in price." In calling a recession on the horizon, he also touted agency mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage bonds as attractive investments.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, — Organizations: Service, DoubleLine Capital, AAA

☆ Jeremy Grantham and Bill Gross have warned stocks are overvalued. Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel disagrees: "They are underpriced"
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Anil Varma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel rejects the notion that US stocks are overvalued, saying they are in fact "underpriced". "Even if there is a mild recession, these are great long-term values," Siegel said, referring to the current levels in stocks. Wharton finance professor and markets guru Jeremy Siegel suggests just the opposite might be the case. Even if there is a mild recession, these are great long-term values. Stocks are almost to levels where earnings yields are above 6%, which equate to real returns going forward," Siegel wrote.

Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jeremy Grantham, Bill Gross, Jeffrey Gundlach, Siegel, —, Wall, MacroEdge Organizations: Service, DoubleLine, JPMorgan, Equity

☆ Here's where Wall Street strategists see the stock market headed next after a brutal September
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks are coming off a brutal two-month stretch, and Wall Street is divided on what comes next. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementThe stock market is coming off back-to-back rocky months, and Wall Street is split on what could be coming next for investors. And Jeff Gundlach, the billionaire founder of DoubleLine Capital, said Tuesday that Treasury yields suggest it's time to start worrying about a severe downturn.

Persons: Stocks, Fundstrat, —, Quincy Krosby, Jay Woods, Woods, jitters, Kevin McCarthy, Gene Goldman, Goldman, Tom Lee, Lee, Marko Kolanovic, Jeff Gundlach Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Freedom Capital, Treasury, Cetera Investment Management, CNBC, DoubleLine

☆ Billionaire investor Jeff Gundlach warns of a recession as markets roil: 'Buckle up'
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

"If the unemployment rate ticks up just a couple of tenths it will be recession alert," Gundlach wrote on X. AdvertisementAdvertisementBond-market turmoil could be a sign that a recession is on the way, Jeff Gundlach has warned. "The US Treasury yield curve is de-inverting very rapidly," Gundlach wrote in a post on X. That "should put everyone on recession warning, not just recession watch," he added. That's led to the gap in returns offered by 2- and 10-year Treasurys narrowing to just 33 basis points, for the tightest yield curve since late March.

Persons: Jeff Gundlach, Gundlach, Buckle, —, That's, –, David Lebovitz Organizations: DoubleLine, Service, Treasury, Federal Reserve, London School of Economics, JPMorgan

☆ What the bond market is telling us about recession chances right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve initially inverted in March 2022, a phenomenon that has historically been a reliable recession predictor. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields tightened to 40 basis points on Tuesday, marking the smallest gap since May 5. "I always talk about the yield curve being inverted as a warning signal if you will... but it doesn't happen imminently. The notable bond investor said when the yield curve de-inverts, it's a strong signal of a recession and that it was very close to happening. EvercoreISI historical work found that the yield curve turns positively sloped just before a recession begins.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, it's, Pershing, Bill Ackman, Ackman Organizations: Treasury, DoubleLine, CNBC, Federal Reserve

☆ Stocks are 'pretty overvalued' – and a recession is likely to hit in the next 9 months, says billionaire investor Jeffrey Gundlach
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Jeffrey Gundlach says stocks look expensive and he expects a recession in the first half of 2024. Government overspending could lead to an inflationary recession or "stagflation," Gundlach said. "I think the market is pretty overvalued," the billionaire CEO of DoubleLine Capital said on a recent company webcast. "It could be an inflationary recession." The prospect of "higher for longer" interest rates suggests a stock-market decline and recession are still real possibilities.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Government overspending, Gundlach, it's Organizations: Government, Service, DoubleLine, Nasdaq, Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ DoubleLine’s Gundlach says chance of more rate hikes is higher due to 'problematic' oil spike
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday the Federal Reserve is more likely to raise rates again in light of the recent jump in oil prices. "I think the probability of rate hikes is higher than what I thought before this oil spike happened," Gundlach said on CNBC's "Closing Bell. " Oil prices have jumped since July, with West Texas Intermediate crude topping $90 a barrel, as expectations of a tighter supplies grew. "So I think the chance of a rate hike is higher because these oil prices are going to be a real problem." "I think it's quite likely there's going to be rate cuts in the first half of next year.

Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, West Texas, Consumer, Fed Locations: Texas

☆ The trusty American consumer is poised to run out of steam by early next year, investor survey says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Joseph Wilkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Spending by the ever-reliable US consumer is about to fizzle out, according to a Bloomberg investor survey. Such resilience has staved off widespread recession fears, but as household savings run out, the fortunes of the US economy could reverse. AdvertisementAdvertisementIndeed, excess savings accumulated since the pandemic are poised to evaporate by as early as the end of September, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco has said. "We still have very high prices, but we don't have all of that funny money around anymore, and the excess savings are going negative." The famed investor says the drying up of consumer savings is set to hammer corporate profits as spending declines.

Persons: –, Jeffrey Gundlach, Michael Burry Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Billionaire, DoubleLine, Fox Business Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

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